HomeBrexitMay never thought No Deal was an option


May never thought No Deal was an option — 4 Comments

  1. Article 50 should have been invoked in the summer of 2016. Not necessarily on the day after the referendum, but within weeks. I remember saying, as Brexiteers began to get antsy towards the autumn of that year, that I wasn’t worried yet, however if it hadn’t been done by the end of August, I would be. I still think that was right. Some delay was understandable and acceptable. But not that much.

    “As I understand it the ECJ’s judgement is that Article 50 can be revoked only in the circumstance that it is a genuine revocation, that is, if the UK genuinely intends to stay in the EU long-term, and aren’t just doing to it to gain time.”

    “Unequivocal and unconditional”. To me, that also says, “… and forget your derogations and rebates, sunshine; you’re all-in now”. It’s a total non-starter, even if it didn’t require repeal of the Withdrawal Act.

  2. Rumours abound that 48 letters are in. Mind you, we’ve heard that before…

    If there are 115 MPs who intended to vote against May’s deal, surely they now have to vote against her in the no- confidence vote? That would only leave 33 more needed to get to 148. And even though she’s said she’ll carry on if she wins the vote, even if it’s by only one vote, I don’t see how she really can carry on after a narrow victory now, or even any sort of victory that isn’t totally overwhelming, she’s run out of road.

    • Just watch her. She couldn’t really say there wasn’t going to be a snap election then turn round and hold one. She couldn’t really set up a Department for Exiting the EU and completely ignore it, letting the Cabinet Office conduct negotiations in secret. She couldn’t really say no deal is better than a bad deal then keep pushing a bloody terrible deal as if her life depended on it. She couldn’t really have her Cabinet saying the vote was definitely going ahead on Monday morning then cancel it at lunchtime. But she did.

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