Boris JohnsonBrexitPoliticiansPoliticsThe Conservatives

The Establishment hates Boris, but that doesn’t mean he’s the Brexit man

There seems to be a lot of this sort of thinking happening at the moment:

The Establishment is clearly trying to smear Boris in any way possible. They’re frightened of him. He’s the anti-Establishment candidate. They must fear that he’s really going to achieve Brexit. So he’s the man for me. If they don’t want him that much then I do. I’m going back to the Conservatives, and believing in Boris.

I’m not so convinced. Sure the Establishment doesn’t want Boris. But the Establishment currently gets the screaming abdabs at anyone who doesn’t completely toe the party line. It doesn’t mean that Boris is really going to do anything radical. If he was that radical he wouldn’t have been allowed anywhere near a mainstream political party, or the mainstream media. Look at Tommy Robinson, for instance. Now there’s a real threat to the Establishment, but he is simply made invisible.

So while Boris will undoubtedly do some things the Establishment won’t like, it doesn’t follow that a real, No Deal Brexit is one of them (see my post from this morning on this topic).

I really hope Boris does surprise me, and gets us a real Brexit, and overthrows the PC tyranny, and rolls back the state, and so on. If he does then I’ll gladly eat my words. I’ll put up a picture of the man in my own home. But how likely is it really? Does he have a history of actually enacting bold and radical ‘populist’ conservative policies, as opposed to just big talk? No. Does he have a history of sucking people in with his charm, and then disappointing them? Yes. Is he an egomaniac and huckster mainly concerned with himself, rather than any political principles? Mostly. Resigning his Cabinet post over the WA showed some principles, so I’ll give him that. But mainly he’s proved himself to be a Cameron-type, in that his main driving force is his desire for personal prestige.

Let’s face it, which is more likely? Boris attempting to prorouge Parliament as soon as he gets in, or Boris attempting to get Parliament onside with some compromise sellout withdrawal deal? If you think it’s the latter, please explain in comments what reason you have to think that, because I don’t buy it.

Update: Sure the ERG might try to steer him in the right direction, but he doesn’t really need them any more. As we saw with May, the PM has a lot of power over Brexit and there’s not much anyone can do about it. And I can’t see the Brexiteers going for a party no-confidence vote in Boris if he lets them down. They’re more likely to just jump ship to the Brexit Party.

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