We had 6082 more deaths in week 14 than the five-year average, yet only 3475 deaths that week were Covid-19 deaths.
So either we’re undercounting Covid-19 cases, or extra deaths are being caused by the lockdown, (or the general situation) or a combination of both.
Update: Got some graphs in from people, will put them up when I can, very busy today. Also, if someone could look at changes in relative risks of death for various age groups that would be great, as these won’t have changed much even with the week 14 figures.
Update 2: Some people are noting that we have had similar death figures in early-mid Jan, especially in 2015, but it has to be noted that the death figures for this period are always inflated due to the numerous holidays over Christmas and New Year, which delays registration of deaths.
My own take is that we are seeing a sudden glut of deaths of people who would have died over winter if it had been a bad one, but who managed to survive because it was very mild.