Blog reader (and retired Professor) Robert Watson has done some more graphs for us.
First of all we have a graph of the sex differences in the Covid-19-related deaths category for weeks 11-15 (click to enlarge).
And here’s a chart listing the sex breakdown for Covid-19 deaths, including cumulative counts (numbers and percentages). Note that even when we’ve done the 70-74 age bracket (yellow line), we’ve still only accounted for 30% of the Covid-19 deaths (click to enlarge).
Only, one in 400 (0.27%) deaths relates to someone under the age of 30. Also, up to this age group the number of male and female deaths are identical. Above this age the male covid-19 deaths increasingly outstrip the female deaths.
For example, the under 65 year olds only make up 13% (1,350 deaths) of all covid-19 deaths. However, the number of male under 65 deaths (867) is almost twice the number of under 65 year old female deaths (483).
The under 75’s make up only 31% of all covid-19 deaths (alternatively, 69% of deaths happened to people 75 years old or older).
The pattern of covid-19 deaths to date seem to strike the same demographic as other respiratory diseases and which rationally really ought not to be something for relatively healthy folks (particularly females) below State pension age to worry themselves over.
A graph of weekly respiratory deaths (Eng & Wales), up to the end of week 15 (10 April) (click to enlarge).
Bear in mind, though, that generally Covid-19 deaths aren’t manifesting (or being recorded) as respiratory deaths. Robert says:
It seems to me that given the simultaneous large increase in total deaths and the fall in reported respiratory deaths, that the ONS is treating relatively few of the 6,213 covid-19 attributed deaths in week 15 as respiratory deaths.
Finally, a cumulative graph of respiratory deaths (England and Wales) up to the end of week 15 (10 April), with the prior 5-year average in there (orange line) for context (click to enlarge).
I’m hoping to get the ONS data relating to the size of age cohorts and the number of deaths from all causes for each age cohort and sex category to estimate the typical probability of death from other-than-covid-19 causes in order to calculate conditional deaths rates and then to estimate the added likelihood of death from covid-19. I’m expecting that the incremental increased probability of death from covid-19 will be close to zero for below pension-age cohorts.
(Thanks to Robert. All stats from the ONS.)