So, anyone here who knows what is going on now with Brexit? Not me. Is this deliberate, or incompetence, or both?
You can expect a lot of incompetence with the Tories, especially with Theresa May in charge, but I can’t help wondering that it suits the Tories that matters are so foggy that no-one knows what is going on. Because the Tories don’t want to leave the EU, but they know they can’t get away with openly saying that, so they’re going to do what Tories always do, that is, give in, but cover it with fudge.
It should be the name of their theme tune: “Give In, But Cover It With Fudge”, sung to the tune of a happy-clappy 60s song called something like “Tune In, and Cover It With Love’.
On June 24 2016 I said the UK needs to invoke Article 50 and leave the EU immediately. But Daniel Hannan said that we need to take our time, there was no hurry, we need to work out what sort of Brexit we want. I couldn’t believe he was so naive. And there are still Brexiteers saying similar things today. We should take our time. Thrash it out internally over what sort of deal we want with the EU, and leave plenty of time to sort things out with the EU.
It amazes me that clever people who have got so far in life can be so clueless about the tactics of their enemies, even though those tactics are no great secret. Leaving the EU risks the unravelling of the whole progressive project, so of course it cannot be allowed to happen. That’s why we had to act decisively, to avoid getting bogged down.
But we haven’t, and now the tentacles have started to curl around our limbs again. Or, to go to another metaphor (one of my favourites), when you’ve wrestled the crocodile to the bank, you finish him off ASAP, otherwise he’ll slip back into the water again. Unfortunately Theresa May is not only not much of a crocodile wrestler, she’s trying to make friends with it.
Some senior Brexiters are now worried they have been done. One says: “If Theresa and Julian have sold us out here they are in real trouble. She reassured us all at the 1922.
Some people don’t learn, do they? How many more aeons can Tory MPs watch Theresa May pull that carrot just out of reach every time?
Some commentators are saying on my Conservative Woman piece (on the structural difficulties of removing Theresa May) that even if May doesn’t lose the confidence vote she’ll still be fatally damaged and will have to resign. I wish that were true. Maybe it is. But I fear that if she wins a confidence vote she’ll just keep on plugging away with the same old shit she’s been getting away with for a year or so despite the party falling to pieces politically. I mean, who’s going to stop her?
The Tories are all terrified of the party degenerating into warfare and an early election against Corbyn. There’s no unity figure they’ll all rally to. Maybe Sajid Javid. Certainly not Rees-Mogg, he’ll send the Establishment non-Conservatives like Soubry mad.
Basically there’s too much Europhile poison still in the party. The Conservatives should have made it a policy to not put up for election anyone still talking up Remain, but that was never going to happen, was it?
Still, I hope they can rid of May fast. They should be planning for it, but it doesn’t look like they are. Gove, instead of making up for his disastrous mistake last time, is playing at being Mr. Green, and sliming around Ruth Davidson, who I just don’t see the attraction of.
Meanwhile May lurches incompetently on, becoming more and more hated by absolutely every segment of the population, except for her husband. May: the toothless zombie. Protected by the balance of forces around her.
Update: I’ve changed the title of this post as I thought of a better one.
I didn’t vote for Arron Banks. I voted to leave the EU. I voted Leave in spite of Arron Banks (and in spite of the Leave campaign — the same applies to them).
All this focus on Banks and foreign interference is just irrelevant, even if there was anything there, which there isn’t. It’s just as irrelevant as the foreign interference involved in Barack Obama urging us to vote Remain.
Also, let’s not forget that if Remain had won, we’d not have heard anything at all about the way the referendum was run ever again. It would be over, we’d be staying in the EU, and that would be that.
If it turns out that Justin Trudeau doesn’t wear false eyebrows then there is no God. But in the full video of his press conference with Macron it does look like he just has weird eyebrows with a lot of lower hair, but not fake ones. (You’ve only got to watch for a few seconds to see this.)
Recently I tweeted this:
I’m not going to call lefties ‘lefties’ any more. It suggests there’s something still slightly loveable about them, or that I still feel some affection for them, despite our differences. But those days are long gone. As Kurt Schlichter says, ‘The left hates you. Act accordingly’.
The question remains, though, as to how we shall address lefties from now on. Suggestions in the comments, please. (C’mon, my stats tell me I have readers, so get cracking.)
My suggestions are:
Mass grave merchants
Social Justice Stasis
In the last year there have been endless calls for Theresa May to be given the boot, including from me. And I’ve yet to see a single commentator calling for her to stay. But what nobody at all has addressed is how she could be gotten rid of. Many people seem to be under the impression that if forty-eight letters go in from Conservative MPs, then a leadership contest is on, which the party members will ultimately decide. But that isn’t so. What happens first is the MPs have a vote of no confidence in May. (That’s assuming that May doesn’t resign once those forty-eight letters go in, but I’m assuming she won’t.)
The likelihood at the moment is that May would win that vote of no confidence, and would, as a result, stay in post. In times past a leader would be expected to resign if the confidence vote did not result in an overwhelming victory, but given the Brexit situation, and the way May has clung on to the leadership no matter how bad things have gotten for her, I think we can forget that.
But here’s the worst part, the bit that every commentator is ignoring, or is ignorant of. If May wins the confidence vote then she cannot be challenged again for a full year. This is not something I’ve ever seen mentioned in regard to Theresa May. It also not something that is mentioned in most guides to Tory leadership elections, because they are more concerned with what happens when a leader resigns or loses a confidence vote. But it is mentioned here (see p. 8), here and here. And the MPs will know this, even if the Twitterati don’t. A full twelve months grace, and there won’t be a thing the Brexiteers can do during that period to stop her doing what she wants.
This explains the inexplicable. Why are the Brexiteers not getting those forty-eight letters in when clearly they must have enough people on side? It’s because they know that a leadership challenge has to succeed in knocking May out first go, otherwise it will only have made things worse. A May that wins the vote will be re-strengthened, and will probably sack most or all of the Brexiteers from the Cabinet. It’s why they’re waiting until things get really bad, so bad that even a lot of the spineless, centrist Conservative MPs will have had enough of May. But it’s hard to see how the Brexit situation can get much worse than it is at the moment. So the fact that the Brexiteers haven’t acted by now doesn’t give one much confidence that they ever will, especially when David Davis keeps threatening to resign and then not doing so.
There is one thing that will make it more likely that May would lose a confidence vote, and that is if the Tories slip in the polls. A lot of Tory MPs are okay with May because she is keeping them ahead of Corbyn, and also they’re afraid of what could be unleashed if May is deposed (possibly even another early election). But if it looks like she won’t even be able to beat Corbyn then they would probably turn on her. However, while a downslide in the polls could definitely happen, it will only happen if the public realises what is going on with Brexit, and that could take a while, as the Tories are past masters at fudging their way out of trouble. In fact, it may not even happen at all, especially now that the Daily Mail is replacing outgoing editor Paul Dacre with an arch-Remainer. And the fear of Corbyn may keep May buoyant for as long as Labour remains hard-left. So we may be waiting for those forty-eight letters for quite some time yet. (It’s even possible that forty-eight supporters of May could call for a confidence motion in her before forty-eight Brexiteers do.)
Update: Some further thoughts on this issue:
I spent all of yesterday in a mostly useless workshop, of the sort I had hoped I’d left behind when I got out of academia. My favourite bit was when a self-righteous left-wing woman said, “When I hear people talking down social care and charities I really want to punch them in the face. Not because I’m a violent person, but because they deserve it.’ This was not said as humorous overstatement, but matter-of-factly.
‘Not because I’m violent.’ The world is full of non-violent left-wingers who have peace in their hearts, love flowing through their veins, and the best interests of humanity in the forefront of their minds at all times, but who still somehow end up personally taking thousands of people around the back of the prison block and shooting them. Perhaps she’ll get her wish in about ten years to dispense her savage but non-violent justice to all those who use a sardonic tone of voice within earshot.
I’ve been saying for a while now (especially on my Twitter page) that white feminists are quite mistaken if they think that they’re on the top of the victimhood tree. Once the ‘victims’ are in charge, white women will quickly find they’re classed as oppressors, second only to white men in culpability.
This is already happening in regard to the transgender movement. Feminists who don’t appreciate transwomen moving in on their territory have been finding themselves on the receiving end of the sort of smear tactics that the feminists pioneered. Germaine Greer is one the more visible targets, but there’s plenty of this stuff that goes on away from the public eye. There are to be found on Twitter and Facebook furious exchanges between the ‘TERFs’ (trans-exclusionary radical feminists) and the transloonies. I’ll pick out a few choice ones over the next few weeks.
It’s hard not to laugh at the feminists getting a taste of their own medicine, but this is nothing more than gallows humour. In the gulags there might have been some grim satisfaction when a former interrogator joined your hut, but that didn’t make up for what was happening to you.
This if, of course, what happens when you push identity politics and victimhood as the big issues of the age. There are plenty more ways of dividing society up than into men and women (or rich and poor). And if you’re a University Professor living in a big house, or a BBC presenter on a few hundred thousand, then you’re a ripe target yourself. Eventually some people notice that they’re not being invited to your soirees and dinner parties, because you can’t invite everyone, can you, so you’re forced to engage in some discrimination.
So, white feminists (and soon, rich black feminists): welcome to the hut.
So the writer and critic of feminism Peter Lloyd posted a Tweet in which he made reference to this story where twenty women invaded a men-only pool in Hampstead dressed as men. They were protesting about the proposed legislation that would allow anyone to go to a gender-segregated pool if they merely ‘identified’ as that gender. (Lloyd possibly got the wrong end of the stick about this story; it’s hard to tell from his brief tweet.)
Then every angry stereotyped tattooed feminist clown in the country piled on with comments, and likes for the comments. (Because I left my own comment I got notified of dozens of these likes; it was like a women’s studies conference straight out of central casting.) And these weren’t even the really dumb feminists, because most of them could at least see that gender self-identification was a stupid idea. Although one of them was so dumb that she actually had this virtual-contradiction in her Twitter bio:
Supporting equality with protected female only spaces. Gender is a social Construct.
And one particularly idiotic woman said:
Because Mongos like you don’t give a shit otherwise. Men d.g.a.f untill it happens to THEM or their sacred spaces. Did you know about gender self I’d issues before this mra *Man* tweeted about it (and didn’t read his own link, div.)??
Just came across this reference to Lord Carrington in Antony Beevor’s excellent “Arnhem”. Carrington won the MC and like many of his generation was strongly pro-EU. Contrast his character & life experience with that of Boris Johnson and you realise how low we have sunk
Read this tweet and realise how low we have sunk. Harris went to Selwyn College at Cambridge. Sure he studied English Literature rather than anything that dealt in serious reasoning, but has his brain really gone so bad that he thinks this passes as logic? Or does he just think he can get away with it as he’s tweeting to the left?
Let’s start with the selective examples. Did Tony Blair serve? Andrew Adonis? A. C. Grayling? As Sean Thomas replied, “Some generations were obliged to fight. You and me were just lucky.” Hardly anyone on both sides of the Brexit argument has served in the military, so picking out some convenient examples like Boris Johnson proves nothing. Would his Selwyn tutor have let him get away with that?
(There are in fact a few ex-soldiers in politics these days, although not many at the top. I agree that there are too many career politicians, but he appears to be unaware of the existence of many of these ex-soldiers.)
And how many World War II soldiers were anti-EU? How does one soldier prove anything? If we had plucked out a war hero who was anti-EU Harris’s Cambridge training would have come to the fore and he would have quickly informed us that this proves nothing.
And it’s all very well to say “Many of his generation were pro-EU”, but is this true? What evidence is there of it? I thought that the Remainers were bitterly complaining that the Brexit vote was due to the older generation? Or were they pro-EU in their youth, but then they went off it as they wised up?
Harris also appears to be unaware that Carrington later went sour on the EU:
“I thought we were joining a common market. It did not occur to me that the Europeans would interfere in our affairs….
“What worries me about the Union is that so many rules and regulations come out of Brussels that are not, broadly speaking, anything to do with the Common Market. They want to standardise everything, and that is not very useful.”
And Lord Carrington believes that the EU’s overbearing bureaucracy lies at the heart of the growing disillusionment many British people feel for the organisation.
“The average person is not anti-Europe but they are against over-regulation. You should be left to run your own affairs unless it affects the Common Market. The frustration with lots of people with the European Union is that they feel their lives are being made more difficult by the EU. Put simply, Brussels sticks in their throats.”
Like many people of his generation, Carrington was pro-EU in the sense of being in favour of joining a trading bloc. But he wasn’t at all keen on joining anything that resembled the modern EU. I don’t suppose Harris will be telling his readers that.
Philby. Burgess. Maclean. Anthony Blunt. George Blake. John Cairncross. Goronwy Rees. Edith Tudor-Hart. Arthur Wynn. David Floyd. Percy Glading. Bob Stewart. John Symonds. Dave Springhall.
Have we uncovered all the British Communist spies and traitors? Hardly. The biggest one of all still operates, sometimes called out, but never disciplined, and now brazenly out in the open. What’s it’s name?
Why, it’s the modern British Establishment, of course. Currently agitating openly for leftist, non-democratic, oligarchical control of the country. Turn on your TV to watch it in action today.
I’m in the tenth circle of Hell — Windows 10 hell, that is. I still can’t get my main computer to update to either the Fall Creators 1709 update from last year, or the latest 1803 update. I can usually work out these sort of computer problems eventually, but this time I’m giving up because there are too many other things to do, not least this blog.
(The security and other updates are still updating, it’s just the major updates that aren’t).