Hector Drummond Magazine reader and contributor Christopher Bowyer has done some more Covid-19 test result graphs. Given the urgency of the situation at the moment these are very recent, they are from yesterday’s update at coronavirus.data.gov.uk. (All graphs can be clicked to enlarge.)
The first one looks at Covid-19 positive tests (blue), Covid hospital admissions (green), and Covid deaths (red) for England. You can see that there’s been a slight increase in hospital admissions over September, as expected given the time of year, but it’s hardly a public health disaster in the making. The number of deaths is still very small.
Here’s a graph showing UK Covid deaths and their growth rate. Bear in mind that with such low numbers it takes very little to cause a doubling of deaths. And before you start screaming ‘Muh exponential growth’, remember that exponential growth is not at all inevitable, can stop at any time, and usually does not carry on for very long in the real world.
Here’s a graph showing UK Covid-19 hospital admissions and their rate of growth. Same points as above apply.
Here’s a graph showing UK positive cases and their rate of growth. Bear in mind that a lot of this is down to increased testing, and that most of it is occurring in younger people to whom Covid-19 presents virtually no threat.
And here’s a graph of all positive tests, admissions and deaths, all indexed to 100 on 1st July (which is when positive tests started increasing again).