Covid-19

Rick Hayward: Winter/Spring Mortality 1993 – 2020 in Relation to Covid-19

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This is an article by Rick Hayward. 1. Introduction ‘Follow the Science’ is the phrase frequently used in both demands and justifications concerning Covid-19. This basic analysis is not about resolving issues around wider linguistic and philosophical notions of the ‘science’ (however badly the term is abused). Nor is it concerned with promoting false certainties […]

Covid-19

Sam Case: Hit them with a COSHH

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This is an article by Sam Case, a former police officer now working in sport and health. I carried the old-style truncheon. It was pretty useless. Smashed the odd window with it. It resided mostly in my locker, furloughed, much like the population of late. The risk with weapon deployment is that sometimes, if you […]

Covid-19

Tim James: A Perspective on the Ethics of Lockdowns

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This is an article by Tim James. Tim manages legal liabilities arising from industrial disease cases.  All opinions expressed are strictly his own. In the ongoing debate over the merits of the United Kingdom’s various lockdown measures the focus has understandably been upon comparing the number of lives the lockdown has allegedly saved with the […]

Covid-19

Population increases graph

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Turns out the utterly useless ONS have no population data for England and Wales before 1971, not even estimates. Unbelievable. The enormous of rubbish they have on their site, yet not even the most basic population data. I will have to find some alternative sources of information, and make some careful estimates. Update: This is […]

Covid-19

Sam Case: Sticks and Stones…

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This is an article by Sam Case, a former police officer now working in sport and health. Affray, riot, arson, vandalism, looting. Words that conjure up images of street brawls, burning cars, smashed windows and police officers in NATO helmets. Large scale public disorder is an interesting phenomena, behaving a bit like pathogens. Nothing for […]

Covid-19

John Church: Just An Idea

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This is an article by John Church. John is an oil and gas professional and has spent some 30 years working for one of the biggest oil companies in the world. A few weeks ago, I created an age-dependent mortality model.This was a top-down approach, trying to make a predictive model that honoured various observations […]