Hector Drummond Magazine reader and contributor Christopher Bowyer has done some more Covid-19 test result graphs based on the data at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/. (All graphs can be clicked to enlarge.)
First let’s remind ourselves of the ridiculous graph presented by Vallance and Whitty on September 21 – this version is adjusted to apply to England only to match the charts below (which are England only).
The following graph looks at SARS-CoV-2 positive tests (blue), Covid hospital admissions (green), and Covid deaths (red) for England. You can see that there’s been a slight increase in hospital admissions over September, as expected given the time of year, but it’s hardly a public health disaster in the making. They’re also not rising exponentially, but are fairly flat. The number of deaths is still very small, and and has also been pretty flat recently.
English SARS-CoV-2 positive tests (blue) and Covid-19 deaths (red). This graph uses a different scale than the last graph for deaths so you get a closer look at them. You can see that there has been an increase in deaths recently, but only very a slight one, so clearly the large increase in positive tests over August and September has not been matched by anything like that with deaths.
Hospital admissions per 1000 positive tests, England. A slight increase over September (from a very low level).
Total SARS-CoV-2 tests done each day and the percentage of positive tests (England). You can see the the percentage of positive tests has gone up a bit since September (from miniscule to tiny), but this is of no consequence as most of these extra positives are asymptomatic. As we saw in the second graph, hospitalisations have only increased a bit (from near zero), and deaths are still very small.