8 thoughts on “How’s Vallance’s “Here’s what could happen” graph going?

  1. Related to the overall Covid theme (and please delete if inappropriate/unsuitable), a colleague has started a petition to persuade the UK government to “Nullify non-disclosure agreements/gagging orders for NHS staff for covid-19”, on the basis that we’re not being told the truth about what’s really happening in NHS hospitals. It needs 10,000 signatures to prompt a government response, and 100,000 signatures means that there will be a parliamentary debate.

  2. Something that might be of interest. ONS stats for all cause deaths August 2020.

    “Deaths registered in the year-to-date
    Death occurrences in August 2020 and year-to-date
    Monthly Mortality Data
    Measuring the data
    Strengths and limitations
    Related links
    Print this statistical bulletin

    Download as PDF

    1.Main points
    In August 2020, there were 34,750 deaths registered in England, 2,060 deaths fewer than the five-year average (2015 to 2019) for August; in Wales, there were 2,379 deaths registered, 116 deaths fewer the five-year average for August.
    The leading cause of death in August 2020 was dementia and Alzheimer’s disease in England (accounting for 10.9% of all deaths) and ischaemic heart disease in Wales (11.0% of all deaths); both leading causes of death were the same in July 2020.
    The coronavirus (COVID-19) did not feature in the top ten leading causes of death in August 2020, in England or Wales. In England, COVID-19 was the 24th most common cause of death and in Wales it was the 19th most common cause of death, for deaths registered in August 2020.”

    What the fuck are these politicians doing?

  3. Pcar,
    Not usual for me to listen to the radio, but I was sat in my wife’s car for an hour yesterday. Playing with the DAB I came across Mike Graham on Talk Radio. Was he ever laying into this nonsense! Not holding back, however, his over-riding question throughout was, “Why are the whole of the media going along with the government’s line?” He had no answer but, nevertheless, he appears to be a good chap, firmly on the Sceptic side.

  4. John Wilkinson, as Pcar advises, TalkRadio is the place for sane conversation and has been my default (ie only) TV or radio listen for the last few months, as it is predominantly sceptical, regularly featuring substantive interviews with dissenters like Sunetra Gupta, Carl Heneghan and Ivor Cummins. Mike Graham, Julia Hartley-Brewer and others are always worth a listen in these exasperating times for at least robustly challenging the narrative. It claims to be the fastest-growing station on the planet, so that is encouraging.

  5. So what happened over night on 2nd / 3rd October – doubling of cases which suddenly happened and stayed – surely that’s a little weird. Then they found the extra 16,0000 almost like a smoke screen – but why the huge jump? One theory is they are double testing to check the reliability of the antigen test. Any thoughts?

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