Avoiding deaths cannot be the be-all and end-all of public policy
Here’s a thought experiment. Consider two possible worlds, A and B. World A has more freedom, higher levels of happiness, […]
Read moreCategory: Health
Is the lockdown killing people?
As I said in an earlier post, there were 6082 deaths more than the five-year average for week 14, yet […]
Read moreRespiratory deaths graphs
Here’s a graph of weekly respiratory deaths for England and Wales up to the end of week 14 (3 April), […]
Read moreSome digging into the week 14 death numbers
If you download the latest ONS death stats spreadsheet, and look at the page entitled ‘Covid-19 – E&W comparisons’, you […]
Read moreMore week 14 graphs
Here are some more graphs for week 14 of 2020, which have been done by an academic reader of my […]
Read moreWeek 14 line graphs
Here are some more graphs for week 14 of 2020, which have been done by a reader of this blog, […]
Read more6082 extra week 14 deaths, yet only 3475 Covid-19 deaths
We had 6082 more deaths in week 14 than the five-year average, yet only 3475 deaths that week were Covid-19 […]
Read moreONS week 14 figures out
The ONS figures for week 14 (England and Wales) are now out. Finally we can see a rise in deaths, […]
Read moreWeek 13 bar graphs 2010-20
Another academic reader of this blog sent me some bar graphs based on ONS data. The first one is all […]
Read moreA weekly death chart colour-coded for deviations from the mean
Another blog reader send me this chart, which provides another way of looking at current and recent UK death figures […]
Read moreA historical perspective on winter deaths
Blog reader Laurence Hodge has sent me some graphs, all done with ONS excess winter deaths data. First, here’s a […]
Read moreTaking probability seriously on Covid-19
Here’s another way to think about the probability issue. Suppose you think Neil Ferguson is right, and 250 000 people […]
Read moreMore on Covid-19 and decision theory: the assumption that the lockdown will help
One other thing to say about my Covid-19 and decision theory post is that I have assumed in my toy […]
Read moreCovid-19 and decision theory: some general morals to draw
The UK government (and various other governments around the world) have decided, at least in effect, that the expected utility […]
Read moreA risk-benefit analysis primer
People are asking me on Twitter what my ‘core thesis’ is on Covid-19. I don’t really have one, but the […]
Read moreFerguson speaks
In case you can’t read it, here’s the text off the Financial Times’ recent story on Neil Ferguson, including quotes […]
Read moreThe ONS’s Covid-19 category
After talking to the ONS (by Twitter and e-mail) I’m somewhat clearer now about what they’re doing, and while it’s […]
Read moreWhat can we expect from the weeks 14 and 15 graphs?
A comment on my blog: Mr Drummond, I’ve seen your latest graphs on Twitter (which I don’t normally use […]
Read moreThe Chinese horror is their government, not their disease
The worldwide lockdowns have clearly been driven by academic panic-merchants like Neil Ferguson’s Imperial College team, and a hysterical media. […]
Read moreWeek 13 ONS graphs, still nothing
When I posted the graphs based on the ONS data for week 10, lots of people (mainly on Twitter, not […]
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