Do the ONS numbers show that the lockdown is killing people?
Note: If you’re a new reader to my blog and you’re finding these long stats-based posts not your style, take […]
Read moreCategory: Covid-19
More week 14 Covid-19 graphs
A reader of this blog, Christopher Bowyer, sent me some more interesting graphs. First of all we have the age […]
Read moreWinter 2019-20 graph, and a Covid-19 place of death graph
Laurence Hodge has done us this graph of deaths this winter up to week 14 (click to enlarge): You can […]
Read moreGraph: number of deaths involving Covid-19, registered, occurring and reported
David Clark has sent me a new graph, again based on the ONS stats (click to enlarge): This one is […]
Read moreAvoiding deaths cannot be the be-all and end-all of public policy
Here’s a thought experiment. Consider two possible worlds, A and B. World A has more freedom, higher levels of happiness, […]
Read moreIs the lockdown killing people?
As I said in an earlier post, there were 6082 deaths more than the five-year average for week 14, yet […]
Read moreRespiratory deaths graphs
Here’s a graph of weekly respiratory deaths for England and Wales up to the end of week 14 (3 April), […]
Read moreSome digging into the week 14 death numbers
If you download the latest ONS death stats spreadsheet, and look at the page entitled ‘Covid-19 – E&W comparisons’, you […]
Read moreMore week 14 graphs
Here are some more graphs for week 14 of 2020, which have been done by an academic reader of my […]
Read moreWeek 14 line graphs
Here are some more graphs for week 14 of 2020, which have been done by a reader of this blog, […]
Read more6082 extra week 14 deaths, yet only 3475 Covid-19 deaths
We had 6082 more deaths in week 14 than the five-year average, yet only 3475 deaths that week were Covid-19 […]
Read moreONS week 14 figures out
The ONS figures for week 14 (England and Wales) are now out. Finally we can see a rise in deaths, […]
Read moreWeek 13 bar graphs 2010-20
Another academic reader of this blog sent me some bar graphs based on ONS data. The first one is all […]
Read moreA weekly death chart colour-coded for deviations from the mean
Another blog reader send me this chart, which provides another way of looking at current and recent UK death figures […]
Read moreA historical perspective on winter deaths
Blog reader Laurence Hodge has sent me some graphs, all done with ONS excess winter deaths data. First, here’s a […]
Read moreTaking probability seriously on Covid-19
Here’s another way to think about the probability issue. Suppose you think Neil Ferguson is right, and 250 000 people […]
Read moreMore on Covid-19 and decision theory: the assumption that the lockdown will help
One other thing to say about my Covid-19 and decision theory post is that I have assumed in my toy […]
Read moreCovid-19 and decision theory: some general morals to draw
The UK government (and various other governments around the world) have decided, at least in effect, that the expected utility […]
Read moreA risk-benefit analysis primer
People are asking me on Twitter what my ‘core thesis’ is on Covid-19. I don’t really have one, but the […]
Read moreFerguson speaks
In case you can’t read it, here’s the text off the Financial Times’ recent story on Neil Ferguson, including quotes […]
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