Covid-19

2018-2020 graph

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Another of my readers, Laurence Hodge, has done a graph for me. This one charts deaths from 2018 to the end of week 12 of 2020 (this is the blue line), with the the five-year average plotted as red dots for comparison (click to enlarge). Figures from the ONS. Share this article on social media:

Covid-19

Open thread

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I hope to write a post on Neil Ferguson tonight. In the meantime, here’s an open thread for discussion of Covid-19, computer modelling, the #CovidStasi, foot and mouth, and anything else you fancy. I know that quite a few of my readers don’t like social media (and I don’t blame them, I’m vainly trying to […]

Covid-19

Some European death graphs

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I’ve been looking for the weekly or monthly Italian death stats (all deaths, not Covid-19 deaths). Looks like they are not publicly available, which is rather remarkable. Even the Italian National Statistics Institute doesn’t publish them, although I expect they have them. EUROMOMO However, this site has been mentioned by a few people on the […]

Covid-19

Soap-opera science

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Here’s a remarkable story that no-one in the media or social media has picked up on (although you can bet that everyone in the field knows). So we have two epidemiological teams, one at Imperial, and one at Oxford, with differing ideas about Covid-19. The Imperial team, led by Prof. Neil Ferguson, is the team […]

Covid-19

Apparently your freedom depends on whether there’s a hospital bed with your name on it

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This copper’s justification for this ridiculous bit of heavy-handed policing by Derbyshire Police is pure police state reasoning: By AndyRozza’s logic, any time the NHS gets full then we’re into police state mode, where no-one, except the police and essential workers, is allowed outside. We’re only free to leave the house if there are available […]

Covid-19

The Italian job

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We’re constantly told that we’re going to be Italy in a few weeks (although that few weeks seems to be rather a moveable feast). But are Italy’s higher figures are in large part due to the way Italy records deaths? Prof Ricciardi added that Italy’s death rate may also appear high because of how doctors record […]

Covid-19

The shutdown has just been blown out of the water

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HUGE NEWS: The very same man who brought about the shutdown with his extreme claims about massive death tolls has now massively backtracked: Up to two thirds of people who die from coronavirus in the next nine months are likely to have died this year from other causes, a government advisor has said.   Professor […]

Covid-19

The media is not your friend

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This is the incredibly irresponsible headline in today’s Daily Mail (click to expand):   There are two appalling things about this headline. The first is the use of the word’ jump’, making it seem like things are getting worse. There was actually a drop in new infections yesterday, but you wouldn’t know that from the […]

Covid-19

Apocalypse later

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The media hysterics who run our lives in action: I don’t just blame the media who are, for obvious, attention-seeking reasons, loving this. I also blame the University system for giving us a generation of uncritical scientists. And millions of Humanities graduates who are sceptical of all the wrong things. And social media. Everyone seems […]

Covid-19

The Communists have found a better scam

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Frightening headline in the Daily Mail: Frightening, that is, because of how stupid it is. The spike being referred to consists of… 7 deaths. Just 7. Not 70 000. Not even 7000. Just 7. The death toll rose from 33 to 40. On average, about 1700 people die in the UK every day. And we’re […]