Covid-19

Ferguson speaks

Posted on

In case you can’t read it, here’s the text off the Financial Times’ recent story on Neil Ferguson, including quotes from him. As the FT notes, things are as still as clear as mud.   Imperial’s Neil Ferguson: “We don’t have a clear exit strategy” Financial Times April 7 2020 By Jemima Kelly   There’s […]

Covid-19

The ONS’s Covid-19 category

Posted on

After talking to the ONS (by Twitter and e-mail) I’m somewhat clearer now about what they’re doing, and while it’s confusing, it’s not quite as bad as I thought and at least it hasn’t made the respiratory death figures useless. ONS now has a separate category for Covid-19 deaths, which includes all deaths where Covid-19 […]

Covid-19

2018-2020 graph

Posted on

Another of my readers, Laurence Hodge, has done a graph for me. This one charts deaths from 2018 to the end of week 12 of 2020 (this is the blue line), with the the five-year average plotted as red dots for comparison (click to enlarge). Figures from the ONS.

Covid-19

Some European death graphs

Posted on

I’ve been looking for the weekly or monthly Italian death stats (all deaths, not Covid-19 deaths). Looks like they are not publicly available, which is rather remarkable. Even the Italian National Statistics Institute doesn’t publish them, although I expect they have them. EUROMOMO However, this site has been mentioned by a few people on the […]

Covid-19

Soap-opera science

Posted on

Here’s a remarkable story that no-one in the media or social media has picked up on (although you can bet that everyone in the field knows). So we have two epidemiological teams, one at Imperial, and one at Oxford, with differing ideas about Covid-19. The Imperial team, led by Prof. Neil Ferguson, is the team […]

Covid-19

Apparently your freedom depends on whether there’s a hospital bed with your name on it

Posted on

This copper’s justification for this ridiculous bit of heavy-handed policing by Derbyshire Police is pure police state reasoning: By AndyRozza’s logic, any time the NHS gets full then we’re into police state mode, where no-one, except the police and essential workers, is allowed outside. We’re only free to leave the house if there are available […]

Covid-19

The Italian job

Posted on

We’re constantly told that we’re going to be Italy in a few weeks (although that few weeks seems to be rather a moveable feast). But are Italy’s higher figures are in large part due to the way Italy records deaths? Prof Ricciardi added that Italy’s death rate may also appear high because of how doctors record […]