Covid-19

Week 13 bar graphs 2010-20

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Another academic reader of this blog sent me some bar graphs based on ONS data. The first one is all deaths up to week 13 for every year from 2010 to 2020 (click to enlarge). The second one is the total number of respiratory deaths in England and Wales up to week 13 for all […]

Covid-19

Ferguson speaks

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In case you can’t read it, here’s the text off the Financial Times’ recent story on Neil Ferguson, including quotes from him. As the FT notes, things are as still as clear as mud.   Imperial’s Neil Ferguson: “We don’t have a clear exit strategy” Financial Times April 7 2020 By Jemima Kelly   There’s […]

Covid-19

The ONS’s Covid-19 category

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After talking to the ONS (by Twitter and e-mail) I’m somewhat clearer now about what they’re doing, and while it’s confusing, it’s not quite as bad as I thought and at least it hasn’t made the respiratory death figures useless. ONS now has a separate category for Covid-19 deaths, which includes all deaths where Covid-19 […]

Covid-19

2018-2020 graph

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Another of my readers, Laurence Hodge, has done a graph for me. This one charts deaths from 2018 to the end of week 12 of 2020 (this is the blue line), with the the five-year average plotted as red dots for comparison (click to enlarge). Figures from the ONS. Social media

Covid-19

Open thread

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I hope to write a post on Neil Ferguson tonight. In the meantime, here’s an open thread for discussion of Covid-19, computer modelling, the #CovidStasi, foot and mouth, and anything else you fancy. I know that quite a few of my readers don’t like social media (and I don’t blame them, I’m vainly trying to […]

Covid-19

Some European death graphs

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I’ve been looking for the weekly or monthly Italian death stats (all deaths, not Covid-19 deaths). Looks like they are not publicly available, which is rather remarkable. Even the Italian National Statistics Institute doesn’t publish them, although I expect they have them. EUROMOMO However, this site has been mentioned by a few people on the […]

Covid-19

Soap-opera science

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Here’s a remarkable story that no-one in the media or social media has picked up on (although you can bet that everyone in the field knows). So we have two epidemiological teams, one at Imperial, and one at Oxford, with differing ideas about Covid-19. The Imperial team, led by Prof. Neil Ferguson, is the team […]