Covid-19

Mark Ashby: A Call to Arms

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Mark Ashby is an independent researcher interested in upland and farmland ecology, and evidence synthesis. Dear readers, I began reading Hector Drummond Magazine in March this year, which is about the point at which Hector started to publish articles from guest authors. I’ve been extremely impressed by both the variety and quality of the articles […]

Covid-19

The New Zealand story

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The media never tires of telling us what a wonderful success story New Zealand and its zero-Covid strategy is, what a modern saint Jacinda Ardern is. The scientific/academic press is full of praise as well. You’ve seen Jeremy Harris’s more realistic take on matters here recently. But you may still be under the impression that […]

Covid-19

Latest Covid graphs

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Christopher Bowyer is away so he isn’t able to do his usual graphs this week (except for the Vallance one I put up earlier), so I’ve done a few graphs myself from the figures at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk. First of all, here’s Covid positive ‘tests’ (ie. SARS-CoV-2 positive tests) vs Covid deaths for the UK.     […]

Covid-19

More on false positives

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This is a continuation of my ‘A Beginner’s Guide to False Positives’ from two days ago. In that post I described how false positives can swamp true positives when the prevalence of the disease or condition in question is low. This was the situation in Britain with Covid for quite a few months. However, more […]

Covid-19

Positive tests, admissions and deaths graphs from Christopher Bowyer (6 October)

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Hector Drummond Magazine reader and contributor Christopher Bowyer has done some more Covid-19 test result graphs based on the data at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/. The data was downloaded yesterday, 6 October, so it’s very up-to-date. (All graphs can be clicked to enlarge.) First, a health warning. The positive test data comes from PHE/NHS Track and Trace, and […]

Covid-19

Andrew Mahon: The Canadian Casedemic

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Andrew Mahon is a writer based in London, who has written for the Spectator, the Daily Wire, Human Life Review, New English Review, Brexit Central, Catholic Journal, Conservative Woman and others. Apparently, there’s a second wave in Canada. Cases are soaring and more quarantine restrictions are needed. More self-isolation, more lockdowns, more social distancing, more […]

Covid-19

Positive tests, admissions and deaths graphs from Christopher Bowyer (29 September)

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Hector Drummond Magazine reader and contributor Christopher Bowyer has done some more Covid-19 test result graphs based on the data at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/. (All graphs can be clicked to enlarge.) First let’s remind ourselves of the ridiculous graph presented by Vallance and Whitty on September 21 – this version is adjusted to apply to England only […]

Covid-19

Nick Rendell: How much should we be prepared to spend to reduce the excess deaths from Covid 19?

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This is an article by Nick Rendell. nick.rendell@gmail.com When John Ashworth, the Labour Party’s Shadow Health Secretary, was interviewed at 07:35 on September 18th on the Today programme he said “We shouldn’t consider any levels of death acceptable”, and agreed with the interviewer that any economic sacrifice was worth it to save lives. It isn’t […]